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现在,越来越多的人们开始注意到电子商务中存在的“重电子、轻商务”的倾向。其实,电子商务最重要的是“商务”,而网站只不过是电子商务的后台支撑。另一方面,网上购物完全取代了电子商务的概念。事实上,它仅仅是电子商务的一小部分,而完整的电子商务过程则是一切利用现代信息技术的商业活动的电子化过程。

在中国,电子商务未来将呈现如下发展趋势:

第一,电子商务的深度将进一步拓展。目前受限于技术创新和应用水平,企业发展电子商务仍处于起步阶段。随着这两方面水平的提高以及其它相关技术的发展,电子商务将向纵深挺进,新一代的电子商务将浮出水面,取代目前简单地依托“网站+电子邮件"的方式。电子商务企业将从网上商店和门户的初级形态,过渡到将企业的核心业务流程、客户关系管理等都延伸到Internet上,使产品和服务更贴近用户需求。互动、实时成为企业信息交流的共同特点,网络成为企业资源计划、客户关系管理及供应链管理的中枢神经。企业将创建、形成新的价值链,把新老上下游利益相关者联合起来,形成更高效的战略联盟,共同谋求更大的利益。

第二,中国电子商务将面临严峻挑战。电子商务是国际贸易发展的必然趋势,随着国际电子商务环境的规范和完善,中国电子商务企业必然走向世界,这也是进一步扩大对外经贸合作和适应经济全球化、提升中国企业国际竞争力的需要。而随着中国加入WTO,国外的电子商务企业也将渗透到国内,对中国电子商务构成严峻挑战。

第三,电子商务网站将会出现兼并热潮。首先是同类兼并。目前中国为数不少的网站属于重复建设之列,定位相同或相近,业务内容趋同。由于资源有限,并且在Internet“赢家通吃” 原则下,最终胜出的只是名列前茅的网站;其次是互补性兼并。那些处于领先地位的电子商务企业在资源、品牌、客户规模等诸方面具有很大的优势,但与国外著名电子商务企业相比还有很大差距。这些具备良好基础和发展前景的网站要发展,必然采取互补性收购策略,结成战略联盟。由于个性化、专业化是电子商务发展的两大趋势,而且每个网站在资源方面总是有限的,客户的需求又是全方位的,所以不同类型的网站以战略联盟的形式进行相互协作将成为必然趋势。

第四,行业电子商务将成为下一代电子商务发展主流。中国电子商务进入迅猛发展时期的典型特征是风险资金、网站定位等将从以往的“大而全”模式转向专业细分的行业商务门户。第一代的电子商务专注于内容,第二代专注于综合性电子商务,而下一代的行业电子商务将增值内容和商务平台紧密集成,充分发挥 Internet在信息服务方面的优势,使电子商务真正进入实用阶段。

第五,电子商务将催生新行当eASP——电子商务应用服务商。电子商务是将来的主要商务交易模式,但对于国内为数众多的中小型企业来说,将面临如建设投入大、运营成本高、见效周期长、效果不理想、缺乏标准化的应用系统、软硬件需不断升级等一系列难题。有了eASP,中小企业可以把上述问题转给他们解决,只专注于做好自己的产品和服务便可。3月中旬,北京网路科技有限公司宣布推出面向中国商业用户的电子商务服务方案——电子商务直通车;3月20日下午,作为IBM公司在国内支持的第一家基于AS/400服务器平台的eASP,万维商通科技有限公司向业界进行了eASP商业模式发布暨eASP网站的发布。我国eASP的序幕已经拉开。

Now, more and more people start notice the electronic commerce the tendency of existent" heavy electronics, light business".In fact, electronic commerce" business" is most important, but the website is the backstage of the electronic commerce only to prop up.On the other hand, the on-line shopping replaced the concept of the electronic commerce completely.In fact, it is a small part of the electronic commerce only, but the electronic commerce process of the integrity then the whole make use of the modern information electronical process of the technical business activity.

At China, the electronic commerce will present to develop the trend as follows in the future:

The first, the depth of the electronic commerce will further expand.Be subjected to be limited by the technique innovation and apply the level currently, the business enterprise develops the electronic commerce to still be placed in the start stage.The Along with the related and technical development of the the exaltation the and others the of this the both side level, the the electronic the commerce will the enter deeply the and pretty the toward 纵 , the the electronic the commerce of the the new the generation will the float a surface, the the way the for replacing the to rely on" website+ E- mail" in brief currently.The electronic commerce business enterprise will transfer to serve the core business process, customer relation management of the business enterprise etc.s all extend the Internet, make product and more to come close the customer need from the net store and the entry-level appearance of the gates.Interaction, the solid hour becomes the common characteristics of the business enterprise information exchanges, the network becomes the central nervous system of the business enterprise resources plan, customer relation management and the supply chain management.The business enterprise unite the one who establish, become the new value chain, new old swim the benefits up and down related, becoming the strategic alliance of higher effect, seeking the greater benefits together.

The second, the Chinese electronic commerce will face the rigorous challenge.The electronic commerce is the inevitable trend of the international trade development, along with the norm of the international electronic commerce environment and perfect, the Chinese electronic commerce business enterprise heads for the world by all means, this also is further to extend outward the economic trade cooperates and adapts the economic globalization and promotes the Chinese business enterprise demand of the international competition ability.And join the WTO along with China, the electronic commerce business enterprise of the abroad also will seep through the domestic, constituting the rigorous challenge to the Chinese electronic commerce.

The third, the electronic commerce website will appear to annex the fever.It is the of the same kind annex first.Chinese belong to the row of the repetition construction for several not a few websites currently, position same or close by, the business contents tend together.Because the resources is limited, and under the Internet" the winner eat" principle, end win the website that come out in front just;Repair the sex annex with each other the next in order.Those electronic commerce business enterprises that be placed in to lead the position are in the resources, brand, customer scale the various aspect of etc. The The The has the very big advantage, but compare with an electronic commerce of foreign 著 business enterprise to still have the very big margin.These websites that have the good foundation and develop the foreground want the development, adopting by all means to repair sex to procure the strategy with each other, becoming the strategic alliance.Because characteristic, it are the two greatest trends of the electronic commerce development that profession turn, and each website is in the resources always limited, the customer's need is all-directions again, so the website of different type carry on with the form of the strategic alliance and help to make and will become the inevitable trend mutually.

The fourth, the profession electronic commerce will become the next generation electronic commerce development main current.The Chinese electronic commerce enters the period typical model characteristic of fast fierce development is the profession business gate that the risk funds, the website fixed position...etc. will change direction the profession to subdivide from former" big but whole" mode.The electronic commerce of the generation is absorbed in the contents, the next generation is absorbed in the comprehensive sex electronic commerce, but the profession electronic commerce of the next generation will increase in value the contents and the business terraces close gather, full exertive Internet advantage in the information service, make electronic commerce real into the practical stage.

The fifth, the electronic commerce will urge to living the new line to be the eASP- electronic commerce to apply to serve the company.The electronic commerce is the main business of the future to trade the mode, but for the domestic say in the small scaled business enterprise numerously for number, will face if the construction devotion is big and carries the camp cost high, take effect the period long, the result ignore think, lack to standardize of applied system, soft hardware need to upgrade a series of hard nut to crack of etc. continuously.The Had the eASP, the win the small business enterprise and can turn the above- mentioned problem to the them to resolve, the middle ten days of month of can.3 The month of the the only the then of the the the the oneselfs of the the work the well of the the services the of of the the product the and of the the in the the of the the be absorbed, the the electronic the commerce service project- electronic the commerce that the network science the and technology the limited company the of Peking the declares to the release to the face to the the Chinese business customer keep be open to traffic; On the afternoon of March 20, be the company of IBM to support the first in the domestic according to the AS/400 server terrace of eASP, ten thousand 维 company a science and technology limited company carries on the business model of eASP to release toward industry and the website of eASP release.The prologue of the our country eASP has already draw back.